Conflict analysis and risk assessment

UNDP has been working in conflict, post-conflict and politically complex settings in the Europe and Central Asia region for more than 25 years. Understanding the causes and drivers of conflict, mapping key stakeholders and locating entry-points for peace are critical to preventing conflict and promoting social cohesion. UNDP relies on its expertise in conflict-sensitive approaches to development, using development assistance to build confidence and heal differences.

• Internal research in these areas means we have a continuous analysis of conflict dynamics and risks that informs our work in conflict prevention.
• The Regional Risk and Resilience Assessment (RRRA) which is a joint effort between the UN, World Bank and FCDO focuses specifically on the border areas of the Fergana Valley, as well as Tajikistan and Uzbekistan’s borders with Afghanistan. The RRRA aims to foster opportunities for conflict-sensitive programming that addresses multi-dimensional challenges in the region, building on its identification and analysis of drivers of risk but also resilience and the comparative advantages of the three institutions and interested partners.
• Peace and Development Teams (PAA) are deployed through the UNDP-DPPA Joint Programme in Bosnia and Herzegovina, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Tajikistan,  Ukraine, and the South Caucasus, as well as a Regional Peace and Development Specialist for Europe and Central Asia, to provide strategic guidance for conflict prevention initiatives, support UN operations through political and conflict analysis, help design and run conflict-sensitive programming and enhance partnerships.