Mitigating Poverty: Global Estimates of the Impact of Income Support during the Pandemic

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Mitigating Poverty: Global Estimates of the Impact of Income Support during the Pandemic

July 7, 2021

This paper follows up on the Temporary Basic Income report of last year. This paper reconstructs the full welfare distributions from the most recent household surveys of 160 countries, covering 96.5 percent of the global population, to estimate the pandemic-induced increase in global poverty and provide information on the potential short-term poverty mitigation effects of income support programs in response to the shock. Crucially, the analysis performs a large-scale simulation by combining the welfare distributions with the database of social protection measures of Gentilini et al. (2021) and estimates such effects from 72 actual programs across 41 countries.