Futures and Foresight are amongst the tools increasingly embraced by sustainable development practitioners. Navigating the uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity by exploring possible futures allows for the generation of insights for strategic planning, the identification of opportunities for transformation, and the anticipation and mitigation of critical risks.

One of UNDP’s key areas of interest and its national counterparts in Uzbekistan is green transition. For Uzbekistan, a green transition is an opportunity to upgrade its economy in the value-added chains, increase resource efficiency, and achieve balanced growth across the various social groups. The government of Uzbekistan understands this and has adopted several strategic documents to outline the priorities and goals in mid-and long-term perspectives.

In support of the government, UNDP Uzbekistan applied participatory futures and foresight tools to explore possibilities for a Green Transition in Uzbekistan. The process produced a range of outputs, including a signals database, drivers, narrative scenarios, and a custom scenario exploration system. They were used to develop policy ideas, which outline innovative approaches.