Towards a greener future: Kazakhstan's journey to carbon neutrality through urban innovation and SME empowerment

December 18, 2024
a group of people standing in a parking lot

Rooftop solar power plant located in Aktobe, Kazakhstan

Photo: UNDP Kazakhstan/ Madina Kakimzhanova

We’ve entered an entirely new era in the globe. The world is not on track to limit global warming to 1.5°C (2.7°F) to pre-industrial levels, as set out in the Paris Agreement. Current national pledges are not sufficient to reduce harmful greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions to avoid a global climate disaster. Many national efforts to address climate change tend to focus narrowly on specific sectors, address these in a siloed manner, lack ambition, and fail to fully engage non-state actors and local governments responsible for significant emissions. Cities consume two-thirds of the world’s energy and account for 70 percent of global GHG emissions. It is estimated that by 2030, cities will be expanding into key global disaster zones for biodiversity, severely affecting natural ecosystems and their critical role for cities. 

Cities, being at the forefront of climate impacts, are experiencing a convergence of challenges due to climate change and rapid and unplanned urbanization. Rising global temperatures have caused extreme weather events including flash floods, storms, droughts, and heatwaves in cities. All of these have impacts on urban services, housing, infrastructure, livelihoods, urban ecosystems, cultural practices, as well as the health and well-being of residents. Rising food and energy prices exacerbate these impacts, with the most vulnerable being hit the hardest. Faced with escalating extreme weather events, urban centers worldwide grapple with the dual task of preparing for inevitable climate impacts and actively seeking sustainable solutions. However, two significant obstacles remain: collaboration with national governments and access to financial resources to deliver their commitments. Despite their crucial role, cities, towns and states often find themselves without the necessary financial resources to implement effective climate action. 

Today, more than three billion people live in hotspots that are highly vulnerable to climate change and more than one billion urban dwellers live in informal settlements. Climate change impacts both increase urban populations due to climate-driven displacement and migration and aggravate the underlying socio-economic challenges that come with urbanization. At the same time, cities are a key contributor to climate change, as urban activities are major sources of greenhouse gas emissions.

In 2020, Kazakhstan announced its commitment to reaching carbon neutrality by 2060. Kazakhstan targets to achieve a 25 percent reduction in GHG emissions by the conclusion of 2030 compared to the 1990 base year in its updated Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) and seeks to facilitate access to an international technology transfer mechanism, encourage financing for climate investments and involvement in global research endeavors, foster the advancement of promising low-carbon technologies, and promote initiatives to cultivate local expertise. The vast majority of CO₂ emissions in the energy sector come from the burning of fossil fuels such as coal, oil and natural gas for power generation or to fuel vehicles and machines. As part of its decarbonization strategy, utility tariffs will be projected closer to cost recovery, while the state will provide vulnerable families with targeted assistance. This will help the country remain on track to meet its objectives on the climate front by incentivizing private investment in renewables and energy-efficient technologies. 

Fulfilling the challenges of green economic transition and energy efficiency hinges directly on the effective participation of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). To this end, the government has committed to reducing regulatory barriers for SMEs, enhancing the effectiveness of budgetary spending and existing SME support mechanisms, and developing high-quality infrastructure as well as monitoring, reporting, and verification processes for energy-efficiency data. The government pledged to raise the proportion of GDP contributed by SMEs from 33.5 percent to 40 percent by the decade's conclusion. SMEs, particularly energy service companies (ESCOs) and providers/installers of energy-efficient equipment and controls, undertake numerous projects annually in lighting, heating, and industrial sectors nationwide. However, the complete market capacity of SMEs in energy efficiency, valued in the hundreds of millions of dollars per annum, remains untapped, leading to missed economic prospects and unrealized reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. Moreover, Kazakhstan adopted amendments to the law on renewable energy very recently, allowing citizens to install solar panels up to 200 kilowatts (kW) in their homes, in which their consumption is estimated no more than 15-20 kW and can sell the surplus energy to the national grid through the local energy supply organization. It is estimated that the share of electricity generated by renewable energy sources by 2030 will rise from 5 percent to 15 percent by 2030

In Kazakhstan, enabling "green" investments is essential for reaching the ambitious target of achieving carbon neutrality by 2060. The Ministry of National Economy of the Republic of Kazakhstan projects that this transition will demand US$610 billion in investment over the next four decades. Substantial public funding will be necessary to establish regulatory and institutional structures and develop financial and physical infrastructures. The private sector is anticipated to contribute more than 96 percent of the investments.

My first mission to Astana, Kazakhstan, in 2014

Nine years ago, as a newbie in UNDP, I attended my very first inception workshop in Astana, Kazakhstan. It was the kick-off meeting for the energy efficiency project across the various regions of Kazakhstan. UNDP in Kazakhstan, in partnership with the Government of the Republic of Kazakhstan and with the financial support of the Global Environment Facility contributed to the decarbonization efforts through the project “Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions for Low-carbon Urban Development” with the development of special tools to support SMEs implementing renewable energy and energy efficiency technologies. The goal was to identify the projects which are implemented by SMEs and can reduce GHG emissions within urban infrastructure, as well as develop and provide the mechanisms of its financial support together with the Ministry of Industry and Construction, the DAMU Entrepreneurship Development Fund JSC and the commercial banks. 

My second mission to Astana, Kazakhstan, in 2024 (Photo: UNDP Kazakhstan/ Batyr Aubakirov 1-2, Juliya Pulatova 3, Salamat Ayazbay 4-6)

This year, I had the privilege to attend the closure workshop of the same project and observed its results through very challenging times of the country and the world. The nine-year project enhanced the legislation and fostered the creation of a green financing market in energy efficiency and energy conservation in Kazakhstan. Out of all the successful results of the project, my favorite and the most excited outcome is the financial instruments developed during the project that were scaled up and attracted investments through the DAMU Entrepreneurship Development Fund JSC. The pilot projects implementing green technologies applied for UNDP support through the DAMU Fund and commercial banks. SMEs which had the projects leading to energy savings in urban industries such as heating, electricity, water, lighting and other areas, benefitted from the financial instruments. They benefitted from (i) the interest rate subsidy up to 10 percent p/a which reduced the cost of finance for the private sector, and (ii) loan principal subsidy providing the reimbursement of up to 40 percent of the loan principal (up to 180 million tenge).

UNDP played a crucial role in establishing investment opportunities/projects which are attractive and secure enough financing from banks, investors, and/or financial institutions. Project incentivized implementation of 50 green projects led by small and medium-sized enterprises in total of US$12,990,836.29. Projects were secured to have solid financial, economic and technical plan which would be attractive to banks and other investors with verified results and impacts. With the financial instruments that the project developed, DAMU Fund has supported nearly 140 green projects, with a combined value exceeding 231,5 billion tenge

The project also demonstrates that the implementation of energy efficiency technologies can significantly decrease energy consumption and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The supported 50 green projects achieved GHG emission reduction of 1,108,652 tons of CO₂ over their lifecycles. These technologies include upgrading street and indoor lighting systems, modernizing boiler and heating systems with automated units, insulating buildings, revamping ventilation systems, and installing solar panels, collectors, heat pumps, and solid biomass boilers. Due to their simplicity and rapid implementation, these technologies are actively used across various sectors, including housing and communal services, commerce, warehousing and agriculture in which 311,799 people benefitted (148,928 women, 129,953 men, 32,918 children).

All the introduced instruments are replicable and scalable, reduce risk and costs, simplify the process for the final users, and avail to generate sustainable economic growth. UNDP in Kazakhstan continues its assistance to benefit from the adoption of new technologies and mobile international and national investments in a low-carbon economy. With its noticeable efforts and achievements in environmental conservation by adopting energy efficiency, energy-saving and renewable energy solutions, Kazakhstan is committed to achieve its low-carbon development goals and marked its milestone for future.